cmd.macro_event
Stage BACKTEST → next gate VALIDATION
| ✓ | trades | >= 30 | 146.000 |
| ✗ | expectancy r | > 0 | -0.173 |
| ✗ | profit factor | >= 1.1 | 0.690 |
| ✓ | max drawdown pct | <= 25 | 7.595 |
gate failed: expectancy_r > 0.0 (actual -0.173)
gate failed: profit_factor >= 1.1 (actual 0.69)
Promote from the CLI: delta strategies promote cmd.macro_event VALIDATION --actor NAME --note "…"
- registered
- true
- trades
- 146.000
- expectancy r
- -0.173
- profit factor
- 0.690
- max drawdown pct
- 7.595
- windows
- 10.000
- validation expectancy r
- 0.343
- parameter stability
- 1.000
- oos trades
- 17.000
- oos expectancy r
- 0.166
- oos profit factor
- 1.659
- robustness score
- 0.043
- paper trades
- 1.000
- paper expectancy r
- -1.077
| 09-16 20:53Z | RESEARCH → BACKTEST | demo-bootstrap | MOCK-data demo bootstrap run by the operator; synthetic results are not evidence of real edge MOCK |
| 09-16 20:50Z | walk forward | WTI | {"wins":3,"mean_r":-0.2347,"trades":7,"pnl_usd":-512.93,"win_rate":0.4286,"expectancy_r":- |
| 09-16 20:50Z | robustness | XAUUSD | {"verdict":"INCONCLUSIVE","robustness_score":0.043} |
| 09-16 20:49Z | walk forward | XAUUSD | {"wins":5,"mean_r":0.4457,"trades":10,"pnl_usd":1638.39,"win_rate":0.5,"expectancy_r":0.44 |
| 09-16 20:49Z | isolated | WTI | {"end":"2026-09-16T20:01:00Z","start":"2024-05-01T01:00:00Z","calmar":-0.041,"sharpe":-0.0 |
| 09-16 20:49Z | isolated | XAUUSD | {"end":"2026-09-16T20:01:00Z","start":"2024-05-01T01:00:00Z","calmar":-0.382,"sharpe":-1.1 |