crypto.regime
Stage BACKTEST → next gate VALIDATION
| ✓ | trades | >= 30 | 158.000 |
| ✗ | expectancy r | > 0 | -0.092 |
| ✗ | profit factor | >= 1.1 | 0.592 |
| ✓ | max drawdown pct | <= 25 | 4.074 |
gate failed: expectancy_r > 0.0 (actual -0.0922)
gate failed: profit_factor >= 1.1 (actual 0.592)
Promote from the CLI: delta strategies promote crypto.regime VALIDATION --actor NAME --note "…"
- registered
- true
- trades
- 158.000
- expectancy r
- -0.092
- profit factor
- 0.592
- max drawdown pct
- 4.074
- windows
- 9.000
- validation expectancy r
- 0.261
- parameter stability
- 0.500
- oos trades
- 7.000
- oos expectancy r
- -0.395
- oos profit factor
- 0.000
- paper trades
- 2.000
- paper expectancy r
- 0.654
| 09-16 20:53Z | RESEARCH → BACKTEST | demo-bootstrap | MOCK-data demo bootstrap run by the operator; synthetic results are not evidence of real edge MOCK |
| 09-16 20:52Z | walk forward | ETHUSD | {"wins":0,"mean_r":-0.3949,"trades":7,"pnl_usd":-865.29,"win_rate":0,"expectancy_r":-0.394 |
| 09-16 20:51Z | walk forward | BTCUSD | {"wins":0,"mean_r":null,"trades":0,"pnl_usd":0,"win_rate":null,"expectancy_r":null,"profit |
| 09-16 20:51Z | isolated | ETHUSD | {"end":"2026-09-16T20:01:00Z","start":"2024-05-01T01:00:00Z","calmar":-0.346,"sharpe":-0.7 |
| 09-16 20:51Z | isolated | BTCUSD | {"end":"2026-09-16T20:01:00Z","start":"2024-05-01T01:00:00Z","calmar":-0.322,"sharpe":-1.1 |