What changed

Differences between consecutive global states: regime flips, CUSUM transition warnings, large moves in model confidence and changes in the derived macro regime; confirmed cross-asset relationship changes and correlation strength moves; every strategy signal with its decision; and event policy changes, one entry per event naming the instruments it restricted or released. Each change is stored once and never rewritten.

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Changes50 in the last 30d · relationship

State bar	Subject	Change	Kind	Evidence	Mode
09-17 01:00Z prev 09-17 00:00Z	USD/JPY	USD/JPY relationship: BREAKING DOWN → RECOVERING (+0.10)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.59; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.10 ▲720h correlation -0.69 (previous bar -0.69) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-17 01:00Z prev 09-17 00:00Z	SILVER/WTI	SILVER/WTI relationship: RECOVERING → STABLE (+0.15)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.55; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.15 ▲720h correlation +0.39 (previous bar +0.39) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-17 00:00Z prev 09-16 23:00Z	JPY/GOLD	JPY/GOLD relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.15)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.64; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.15 ▲720h correlation +0.48 (previous bar +0.48) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-17 00:00Z prev 09-16 23:00Z	USD/GOLD	USD/GOLD relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (−0.19)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.65; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.19 ▲720h correlation -0.46 (previous bar -0.46) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-17 00:00Z prev 09-16 23:00Z	EUR/GOLD	EUR/GOLD relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.24)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.64; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.24 ▲720h correlation +0.40 (previous bar +0.40) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-17 00:00Z prev 09-16 23:00Z	EUR/JPY	EUR/JPY relationship: BREAKING DOWN → WEAKENING (−0.19)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.44; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.19 ▲720h correlation +0.63 (previous bar +0.63) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 21:00Z prev 09-16 20:00Z	GOLD/SILVER	GOLD/SILVER relationship: STABLE → RECOVERING (−0.11)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.33; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.11 ▲720h correlation +0.44 (previous bar +0.44) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 20:00Z prev 09-16 19:00Z	BTC/RISK_ASSETS	BTC/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (−0.14)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.19; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.14 ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.34) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 20:00Z prev 09-16 19:00Z	AUD/RISK_ASSETS	AUD/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (−0.14)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.20; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.14 ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.37) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 19:00Z prev 09-16 18:00Z	COPPER/RISK_ASSETS	COPPER/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.06)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.47; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.06 ▲720h correlation +0.41 (previous bar +0.39) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 18:00Z prev 09-16 17:00Z	GBP/JPY	GBP/JPY relationship: BREAKING DOWN → WEAKENING (−0.40)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.01; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.39 ▲720h correlation +0.40 (previous bar +0.40) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 15:00Z prev 09-16 14:00Z	COPPER/BTC	COPPER/BTC relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.10)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.43; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.10 ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.33) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 12:00Z prev 09-16 11:00Z	AUD/BTC	AUD/BTC relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.10)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.43; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.10 ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.33) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 07:00Z prev 09-16 06:00Z	BTC/RISK_ASSETS	BTC/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.06)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.41; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.06 ▲720h correlation +0.35 (previous bar +0.35) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 06:00Z prev 09-16 05:00Z	GOLD/SILVER	GOLD/SILVER relationship: WEAKENING → STABLE (−0.16)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.30; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.16 ▲720h correlation +0.47 (previous bar +0.46) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 05:00Z prev 09-16 04:00Z	COPPER/ETH	COPPER/ETH relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.08)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.38; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.08 ▲720h correlation +0.30 (previous bar +0.30) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 03:00Z prev 09-16 02:00Z	GBP/JPY	GBP/JPY relationship: WEAKENING → BREAKING DOWN (−0.46)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.06; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.34 ▲720h correlation +0.40 (previous bar +0.40) ▲raw state BREAKING DOWN has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-16 00:00Z prev 09-15 23:00Z	JPY/RISK_ASSETS	JPY/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (−0.07)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.41; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.07 ▲720h correlation -0.34 (previous bar -0.34) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-15 20:00Z prev 09-15 19:00Z	COPPER/RISK_ASSETS	COPPER/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.22)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.64; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.22 ▲720h correlation +0.42 (previous bar +0.42) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-15 18:00Z prev 09-15 17:00Z	USD/EUR	USD/EUR relationship: WEAKENING → STABLE (+0.02)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.87; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.02 ▲720h correlation -0.89 (previous bar -0.89) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-15 18:00Z prev 09-15 17:00Z	EUR/SILVER	EUR/SILVER relationship: WEAKENING → STABLE (−0.04)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.29; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.04 ▲720h correlation +0.32 (previous bar +0.32) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-15 18:00Z prev 09-15 17:00Z	EUR/GOLD	EUR/GOLD relationship: WEAKENING → STABLE (0.00)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.34; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.00 ▲720h correlation +0.34 (previous bar +0.34) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-15 18:00Z prev 09-15 17:00Z	EUR/GBP	EUR/GBP relationship: BREAKING DOWN → RECOVERING (+0.12)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.74; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.12 ▲720h correlation +0.62 (previous bar +0.62) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-15 01:00Z prev 09-15 00:00Z	SILVER/COPPER	SILVER/COPPER relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.13)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.45; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.13 ▲720h correlation +0.32 (previous bar +0.32) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 22:00Z prev 09-14 21:00Z	JPY/YIELDS	JPY/YIELDS relationship: WEAKENING → STABLE (+0.07)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.24; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.07 ▲720h correlation -0.31 (previous bar -0.31) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 22:00Z prev 09-14 21:00Z	EUR/SILVER	EUR/SILVER relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (−0.13)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.19; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.13 ▲720h correlation +0.32 (previous bar +0.32) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 19:00Z prev 09-14 18:00Z	USD/JPY	USD/JPY relationship: WEAKENING → BREAKING DOWN (+0.53)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.09; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.53 ▲720h correlation -0.62 (previous bar -0.62) ▲raw state BREAKING DOWN has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 19:00Z prev 09-14 18:00Z	JPY/RISK_ASSETS	JPY/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (−0.28)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.59; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.28 ▲720h correlation -0.31 (previous bar -0.31) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 19:00Z prev 09-14 18:00Z	EUR/GBP	EUR/GBP relationship: WEAKENING → BREAKING DOWN (−0.36)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.26; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.36 ▲720h correlation +0.62 (previous bar +0.62) ▲raw state BREAKING DOWN has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 13:00Z prev 09-14 12:00Z	AUD/RISK_ASSETS	AUD/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.18)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.54; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.18 ▲720h correlation +0.36 (previous bar +0.36) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 12:00Z prev 09-14 11:00Z	BTC/RISK_ASSETS	BTC/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.21)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.53; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.21 ▲720h correlation +0.32 (previous bar +0.32) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 04:00Z prev 09-14 03:00Z	GOLD/SILVER	GOLD/SILVER relationship: RECOVERING → WEAKENING (−0.20)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.29; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.20 ▲720h correlation +0.49 (previous bar +0.49) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 04:00Z prev 09-14 03:00Z	SILVER/WTI	SILVER/WTI relationship: STRENGTHENING → RECOVERING (+0.13)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.55; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.13 ▲720h correlation +0.41 (previous bar +0.41) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 03:00Z prev 09-14 02:00Z	EUR/GBP	EUR/GBP relationship: BREAKING DOWN → WEAKENING (−0.23)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.39; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.23 ▲720h correlation +0.62 (previous bar +0.62) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 03:00Z prev 09-14 02:00Z	EUR/JPY	EUR/JPY relationship: WEAKENING → BREAKING DOWN (−0.53)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.10; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.53 ▲720h correlation +0.64 (previous bar +0.64) ▲raw state BREAKING DOWN has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-14 03:00Z prev 09-14 02:00Z	USD/JPY	USD/JPY relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (+0.29)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.33; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.29 ▲720h correlation -0.62 (previous bar -0.62) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-13 21:00Z prev 09-13 20:00Z	EUR/GBP	EUR/GBP relationship: WEAKENING → BREAKING DOWN (−0.33)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.29; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.33 ▲720h correlation +0.61 (previous bar +0.61) ▲raw state BREAKING DOWN has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-13 16:00Z prev 09-13 15:00Z	USD/EUR	USD/EUR relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (+0.22)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.66; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.22 ▲720h correlation -0.89 (previous bar -0.89) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 17:00Z prev 09-12 16:00Z	EUR/GOLD	EUR/GOLD relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (−0.15)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.19; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.15 ▲720h correlation +0.35 (previous bar +0.35) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 14:00Z prev 09-12 13:00Z	EUR/JPY	EUR/JPY relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (−0.27)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.39; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.27 ▲720h correlation +0.66 (previous bar +0.66) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 08:00Z prev 09-12 07:00Z	AUD/BTC	AUD/BTC relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.22)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.53; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.22 ▲720h correlation +0.31 (previous bar +0.31) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 08:00Z prev 09-12 07:00Z	COPPER/BTC	COPPER/BTC relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.22)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.53; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.22 ▲720h correlation +0.31 (previous bar +0.31) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 04:00Z prev 09-12 03:00Z	GOLD/SILVER	GOLD/SILVER relationship: WEAKENING → RECOVERING (−0.05)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.49; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.05 ▲720h correlation +0.54 (previous bar +0.54) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 03:00Z prev 09-12 02:00Z	USD/AUD	USD/AUD relationship: STRENGTHENING → RECOVERING (−0.09)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.77; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.09 ▲720h correlation -0.68 (previous bar -0.68) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 03:00Z prev 09-12 02:00Z	GBP/JPY	GBP/JPY relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.06)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.38; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.06 ▲720h correlation +0.32 (previous bar +0.32) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 03:00Z prev 09-12 02:00Z	EUR/AUD	EUR/AUD relationship: STRENGTHENING → RECOVERING (+0.11)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.55; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.11 ▲720h correlation +0.45 (previous bar +0.45) ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-12 03:00Z prev 09-12 02:00Z	EUR/GBP	EUR/GBP relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (−0.20)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.42; \|short\| - \|long\| -0.20 ▲720h correlation +0.62 (previous bar +0.62) ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-11 20:00Z prev 09-11 19:00Z	AUD/SILVER	AUD/SILVER relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.07)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.47; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.07 ▲720h correlation +0.41 (previous bar +0.41) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-11 18:00Z prev 09-11 17:00Z	USD/JPY	USD/JPY relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (−0.05)	state change	▲120h correlation -0.69; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.05 ▲720h correlation -0.64 (previous bar -0.64) ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK
09-10 01:00Z prev 09-10 00:00Z	SILVER/COPPER	SILVER/COPPER relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.20)	state change	▲120h correlation +0.51; \|short\| - \|long\| +0.20 ▲720h correlation +0.32 (previous bar +0.32) ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)	MOCK