ΔDELTAMOCKPAPERSHADOWLIVESandboxKill offUnlock
UTC --:--NY --:--LDN --:--TKY --:--IST --:--
MOCK DATA — every price, event and result on this screen comes from Delta's synthetic world. None of it is a market price or evidence of real-market edge.

What changed

Differences between consecutive global states: regime flips, CUSUM transition warnings, large moves in model confidence and changes in the derived macro regime; confirmed cross-asset relationship changes and correlation strength moves; and every strategy signal with its decision. Each change is stored once and never rewritten. Event-risk changes are added in a later phase.

AllMacroRiskUSDVolatilityLiquidityInflationGrowthCommodityCryptoRelationshipsCorrelationSignals24h72h7d30d
Changes27 in the last 24h
State barSubjectChangeKindEvidenceMode
09-17 01:00Z
prev 09-17 00:00Z
SILVER/WTISILVER/WTI relationship: RECOVERING → STABLE (+0.15)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.55; |short| - |long| +0.15
  • ▲720h correlation +0.39 (previous bar +0.39)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-17 01:00Z
prev 09-17 00:00Z
USD/JPYUSD/JPY relationship: BREAKING DOWN → RECOVERING (+0.10)state change
  • ▲120h correlation -0.59; |short| - |long| -0.10
  • ▲720h correlation -0.69 (previous bar -0.69)
  • ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev 09-16 23:00Z
EUR/GOLDEUR/GOLD relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.24)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.64; |short| - |long| +0.24
  • ▲720h correlation +0.40 (previous bar +0.40)
  • ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev 09-16 23:00Z
EUR/JPYEUR/JPY relationship: BREAKING DOWN → WEAKENING (−0.19)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.44; |short| - |long| -0.19
  • ▲720h correlation +0.63 (previous bar +0.63)
  • ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev 09-16 23:00Z
USD/GOLDUSD/GOLD relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (−0.19)state change
  • ▲120h correlation -0.65; |short| - |long| +0.19
  • ▲720h correlation -0.46 (previous bar -0.46)
  • ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev 09-16 23:00Z
JPY/GOLDJPY/GOLD relationship: STABLE → STRENGTHENING (+0.15)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.64; |short| - |long| +0.15
  • ▲720h correlation +0.48 (previous bar +0.48)
  • ▲raw state STRENGTHENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev —
ETHUSDcrypto.momentum: SHORT ETH/USD signal → APPROVED (confidence 67, uncalibrated)signal
  • ▲momentum -1.64 sd crossed 1.5
  • ▲RSI 45: not at an extreme
  • ▲risk off regime (0.37) helps a short ETHUSD (assumed sensitivity +0.7)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev —
BTCUSDcrypto.market_structure: SHORT BTC/USD signal → APPROVED (confidence 60, uncalibrated)signal
  • ▲lower highs and lower lows
  • ▲close broke the last confirmed swing low
  • ▲risk off regime (0.37) helps a short BTCUSD (assumed sensitivity +0.6)
MOCK
09-17 00:00Z
prev 09-16 23:00Z
VOLATILITYVOLATILITY: VOLATILITY COMPRESSION → VOLATILITY EXPANSIONstate change
  • ▲vix_chg_120 contributes +0.59 (weight +0.4) toward volatility expansion
  • ▲volatility expansion is the leading label (score 0.49)
  • ▼xasset_log_rv_ratio contributes -0.11 (weight +0.6) toward volatility compression
MOCK
09-16 23:00Z
prev 09-16 22:00Z
MACROMacro regime (derived): GOLDILOCKS → DISINFLATIONARYmacro change
  • ▲INFLATION is disinflationary
MOCK
09-16 23:00Z
prev 09-16 22:00Z
RISKRISK: RISK ON → NEUTRALstate change
  • ▲vix_z_500 contributes -0.32: small, consistent with neutral
  • ▲btc_mom_480 contributes -0.28: small, consistent with neutral
  • ▲spx_mom_480 contributes +0.19: small, consistent with neutral
MOCK
09-16 21:00Z
prev 09-16 20:00Z
GOLD/SILVERGOLD/SILVER relationship: STABLE → RECOVERING (−0.11)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.33; |short| - |long| -0.11
  • ▲720h correlation +0.44 (previous bar +0.44)
  • ▲raw state RECOVERING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 20:00Z
prev 09-16 19:00Z
INFLATIONINFLATION: NEUTRAL → DISINFLATIONARYstate change
  • ▲us10y_chg_480 contributes -0.59 (weight +0.3) toward disinflationary
  • ▲oil_mom_480 contributes -0.45 (weight +0.4) toward disinflationary
  • ▲gold_mom_480 contributes -0.34 (weight +0.3) toward disinflationary
MOCK
09-16 20:00Z
prev 09-16 19:00Z
AUD/RISK_ASSETSAUD/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (−0.14)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.20; |short| - |long| -0.14
  • ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.37)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 20:00Z
prev 09-16 19:00Z
BTC/RISK_ASSETSBTC/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STABLE → WEAKENING (−0.14)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.19; |short| - |long| -0.14
  • ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.34)
  • ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 19:00Z
prev 09-16 18:00Z
ETH/RISK_ASSETSETH/RISK_ASSETS correlation (720h): MODERATE → WEAK (−0.04)state change
  • ▲120h correlation -0.09; |short| - |long| -0.15
  • ▲720h correlation +0.25 (previous bar +0.29)
  • ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 4 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 19:00Z
prev 09-16 18:00Z
JPY/YIELDSJPY/YIELDS correlation (720h): MODERATE → WEAK (+0.07)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.11; |short| - |long| -0.13
  • ▲720h correlation -0.24 (previous bar -0.32)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 51 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 19:00Z
prev 09-16 18:00Z
COPPER/RISK_ASSETSCOPPER/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.06)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.47; |short| - |long| +0.06
  • ▲720h correlation +0.41 (previous bar +0.39)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 19:00Z
prev 09-16 18:00Z
VOLATILITYVOLATILITY: model confidence in VOLATILITY COMPRESSION fell 0.38 → 0.08 (uncalibrated) (−0.30)confidence shift
  • ▼vix_chg_120 contributes +0.60 (weight +0.4) toward volatility expansion
  • ▼leading label is volatility expansion (score 0.47); volatility compression is held by hysteresis
  • ▼model confidence 0.08 below the hysteresis exit level 0.35; the label is fading
MOCK
09-16 18:00Z
prev 09-16 17:00Z
GBP/JPYGBP/JPY relationship: BREAKING DOWN → WEAKENING (−0.40)state change
  • ▲120h correlation -0.01; |short| - |long| -0.39
  • ▲720h correlation +0.40 (previous bar +0.40)
  • ▲raw state WEAKENING has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 18:00Z
prev 09-16 17:00Z
VOLATILITYVOLATILITY: model confidence in VOLATILITY COMPRESSION fell 0.65 → 0.38 (uncalibrated) (−0.27)confidence shift
  • ▼leading label is normal (score 0.50); volatility compression is held by hysteresis
MOCK
09-16 15:00Z
prev 09-16 14:00Z
COPPER/BTCCOPPER/BTC relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.10)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.43; |short| - |long| +0.10
  • ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.33)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 12:00Z
prev 09-16 11:00Z
AUD/BTCAUD/BTC relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.10)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.43; |short| - |long| +0.10
  • ▲720h correlation +0.33 (previous bar +0.33)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 07:00Z
prev 09-16 06:00Z
BTC/RISK_ASSETSBTC/RISK_ASSETS relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.06)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.41; |short| - |long| +0.06
  • ▲720h correlation +0.35 (previous bar +0.35)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 06:00Z
prev 09-16 05:00Z
GOLD/SILVERGOLD/SILVER relationship: WEAKENING → STABLE (−0.16)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.30; |short| - |long| -0.16
  • ▲720h correlation +0.47 (previous bar +0.46)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 05:00Z
prev 09-16 04:00Z
COPPER/ETHCOPPER/ETH relationship: STRENGTHENING → STABLE (+0.08)state change
  • ▲120h correlation +0.38; |short| - |long| +0.08
  • ▲720h correlation +0.30 (previous bar +0.30)
  • ▲raw state STABLE has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK
09-16 03:00Z
prev 09-16 02:00Z
GBP/JPYGBP/JPY relationship: WEAKENING → BREAKING DOWN (−0.46)state change
  • ▲120h correlation -0.06; |short| - |long| -0.34
  • ▲720h correlation +0.40 (previous bar +0.40)
  • ▲raw state BREAKING DOWN has held 6 bars (published after confirmation)
MOCK